In the latest study conducted by the Pew Internet and American Life Project, over 700 technology experts were asked to evaluate an assortment of scenarios in an attempt to determine potential trends for the year 2020. With responses from representatives of the World Wide Web Consortium, ICANN, the Association of Internet Researchers, and major corporations like Google and IBM, the report reflects the perceptions of “Internet pioneers,” more than half of whom “were online before 1993.”
The highly speculative scenarios presented to respondents are all vaguely reminiscent of various themes commonly found in contemporary science fiction. From artificial intelligences dominating humanity to disgruntled Luddites engaging in violence, the poll looks more like an abandoned script by Michael Piller than a serious exploration of the future. Let’s examine some of the more colorful quandaries, and see how many of the concepts have been prominently featured in Star Trek:
Attack of the Amish
Expressing belief that some who reject technology will perpetrate terrorist attacks against technological infrastructure, almost 60 percent of respondents agreed with the following scenario:
“By 2020, the people left behind (many by their own choice) by accelerating information and communications technologies will form a new cultural group of technology refuseniks who self-segregate from “modern” society. Some will live mostly “off the grid” simply to seek peace and a cure for information overload while others will commit acts of terror or violence in protest against technology.”
Will disenfranchised LoTeks wreak havoc on society? Comparing future anti-technology vigilantes to modern day “eco-terrorists,” Internet education expert and poll respondent Ed Lyell pointed out that “Every age has a small percentage that cling to an overrated past of low-technology, low-energy, lifestyle.” Respondent Thomas Narten, a member of IBM’s Internet Engineering Task Force, believes that “by becoming valuable infrastructure, the Internet itself will become a target,” and FirstGov developer Martin Kwapinski feels that “random acts of senseless violence and destruction will continue and expand due to a feeling of 21st century anomie, and an increasing sense of of lack of individual control.”
